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American Express (AXP) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

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For the quarter ended December 2022, American Express (AXP - Free Report) reported revenue of $14.18 billion, up 16.7% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.07, compared to $2.18 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.25 billion, representing a surprise of -0.49%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -5.05%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $2.18.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how American Express performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

  • Average discount rate: 2.34% versus 2.36% estimated by four analysts on average.
  • Card billed business (Network volumes): $413.3 billion compared to the $417.9 billion average estimate based on three analysts.
  • Provisions for losses-Card member loans: $757 million versus $971.33 million estimated by three analysts on average.
  • Worldwide cardmember loans-Average loans: $103.9 billion compared to the $103.3 billion average estimate based on three analysts.
  • Total cards-in-force: 133.3 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of 134.39 million.
  • Total Non-interest Revenues: $11.42 billion versus $11.62 billion estimated by eight analysts on average.
  • Total Interest Income: $3.97 billion versus $3.51 billion estimated by seven analysts on average.
  • Discount revenue: $8.18 billion versus $8.38 billion estimated by seven analysts on average.
  • Net card fees: $1.63 billion versus $1.55 billion estimated by seven analysts on average.
  • Net Interest Income: $2.76 billion compared to the $2.63 billion average estimate based on six analysts.
  • Service fees and other revenue: $1.18 billion versus the five-analyst average estimate of $1.23 billion.
  • Processed revenue: $429 million compared to the $434.08 million average estimate based on five analysts.

View all Key Company Metrics for American Express here>>>

Shares of American Express have returned +5.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.7% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.


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